“Next Pope? Betting Odds Favor Parolin, Tagle, Turkson, and Erdő”
As the 2025 papal conclave convenes following Pope Francis’s passing, global attention turns to the College of Cardinals as they elect the 267th pope. Betting markets and Vatican observers have identified four leading contenders, each bringing unique experiences and visions for the Church’s future.
1. Cardinal Pietro Parolin (Italy)
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Age: 70
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Current Role: Vatican Secretary of State
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Profile: Parolin is a seasoned diplomat with over three decades in the Holy See’s diplomatic service, including assignments in Nigeria, Mexico, and Venezuela. As Secretary of State since 2013, he has been instrumental in shaping Vatican foreign policy, notably playing a key role in the 2018 agreement with China. He is considered a moderate, balancing traditional doctrine with openness to reform.
[2. Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle (Philippines)
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Age: 67
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Current Role: Pro-Prefect for the Section of Evangelization of the Dicastery for Evangelization
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Profile: Often referred to as the “Asian Francis,” Tagle is known for his progressive views, including advocating for a more inclusive approach toward marginalized groups. He supports the Vatican-China agreement and has been vocal about protecting immigrants.
3. Cardinal Peter Turkson (Ghana)
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Age: 76
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Current Role: Chancellor of the Pontifical Academies of Sciences
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Profile: Turkson is recognized for his work on social justice, economic reform, and environmental issues. His election would mark the first African pope in over a millennium, highlighting the growing influence of African Catholics.
4. Cardinal Péter Erdő (Hungary)
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Age: 72
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Current Role: Archbishop of Esztergom-Budapest and Primate of Hungary
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Profile: Erdő is a respected canon law scholar and has served as president of the Council of the Bishops’ Conferences of Europe. He appeals to conservative factions within the Church and has maintained good relations with Orthodox churches and political leaders.
While betting odds provide insight into public perception, the conclave’s outcome remains uncertain, influenced by theological leanings, regional representation, and the cardinals’ vision for the Church’s future.